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Question-55539




Question Number 55539 by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
Commented by MJS last updated on 27/Feb/19
what am I missing? from any point A we have  ±45° range =90° for B ⇒ the probability should  be 25%
$$\mathrm{what}\:\mathrm{am}\:\mathrm{I}\:\mathrm{missing}?\:\mathrm{from}\:\mathrm{any}\:\mathrm{point}\:{A}\:\mathrm{we}\:\mathrm{have} \\ $$$$\pm\mathrm{45}°\:\mathrm{range}\:=\mathrm{90}°\:\mathrm{for}\:{B}\:\Rightarrow\:\mathrm{the}\:\mathrm{probability}\:\mathrm{should} \\ $$$$\mathrm{be}\:\mathrm{25\%} \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
Two points A and B are selected  randomly on a circle with center O.  What is the probability that the  angle ∠AOB ≤45° ?
$${Two}\:{points}\:{A}\:{and}\:{B}\:{are}\:{selected} \\ $$$${randomly}\:{on}\:{a}\:{circle}\:{with}\:{center}\:{O}. \\ $$$${What}\:{is}\:{the}\:{probability}\:{that}\:{the} \\ $$$${angle}\:\angle{AOB}\:\leqslant\mathrm{45}°\:? \\ $$
Answered by kaivan.ahmadi last updated on 26/Feb/19
p=((l(AB))/(2πr))=(((2πr)/8)/(2πr))=(1/8)
$${p}=\frac{{l}\left({AB}\right)}{\mathrm{2}\pi{r}}=\frac{\frac{\mathrm{2}\pi{r}}{\mathrm{8}}}{\mathrm{2}\pi{r}}=\frac{\mathrm{1}}{\mathrm{8}} \\ $$
Answered by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
Commented by MJS last updated on 27/Feb/19
correct me if I′m wrong, but your square  doesn′t include pairs like θ_1 =330°; θ_2 =15°  I think you must add ((45×45)/(360)) and then you  get (1/4) instead of ((15)/(64))
$$\mathrm{correct}\:\mathrm{me}\:\mathrm{if}\:\mathrm{I}'\mathrm{m}\:\mathrm{wrong},\:\mathrm{but}\:\mathrm{your}\:\mathrm{square} \\ $$$$\mathrm{doesn}'\mathrm{t}\:\mathrm{include}\:\mathrm{pairs}\:\mathrm{like}\:\theta_{\mathrm{1}} =\mathrm{330}°;\:\theta_{\mathrm{2}} =\mathrm{15}° \\ $$$$\mathrm{I}\:\mathrm{think}\:\mathrm{you}\:\mathrm{must}\:\mathrm{add}\:\frac{\mathrm{45}×\mathrm{45}}{\mathrm{360}}\:\mathrm{and}\:\mathrm{then}\:\mathrm{you} \\ $$$$\mathrm{get}\:\frac{\mathrm{1}}{\mathrm{4}}\:\mathrm{instead}\:\mathrm{of}\:\frac{\mathrm{15}}{\mathrm{64}} \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
the position of A can be represented  by θ_1  with θ_1  uniformly distributed   between 0 and 360°.  the position of B can be represented  by θ_2  with θ_2  uniformly distributed   between 0 and 360°.  ϕ=θ_2 −θ_1   −45°≤ϕ≤45°  ⇒−45°≤θ_2 −θ_1 ≤45°  ⇒θ_2 −θ_1 ≥−45°  ⇒θ_2 −θ_1 ≤45°
$${the}\:{position}\:{of}\:{A}\:{can}\:{be}\:{represented} \\ $$$${by}\:\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \:{with}\:\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \:{uniformly}\:{distributed}\: \\ $$$${between}\:\mathrm{0}\:{and}\:\mathrm{360}°. \\ $$$${the}\:{position}\:{of}\:{B}\:{can}\:{be}\:{represented} \\ $$$${by}\:\theta_{\mathrm{2}} \:{with}\:\theta_{\mathrm{2}} \:{uniformly}\:{distributed}\: \\ $$$${between}\:\mathrm{0}\:{and}\:\mathrm{360}°. \\ $$$$\varphi=\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \\ $$$$−\mathrm{45}°\leqslant\varphi\leqslant\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$$\Rightarrow−\mathrm{45}°\leqslant\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \leqslant\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$$\Rightarrow\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \geqslant−\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$$\Rightarrow\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \leqslant\mathrm{45}° \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
each point P in the square 360×360  represents a point pair A and B.   the area of square 360×360 represents  all possibilities.  line L_1 : θ_2 −θ_1 =−45°  line L_2 : θ_2 −θ_1 =45°  it means each point in the shaded  area fulfills the condition  −45°≤θ_2 −θ_1 ≤45°  therefore the probability for ∣ϕ∣≤45°  is p=((area shaded)/(area of square))=((360×360−315×315)/(360×360))  which is ((15)/(64))≈0.234.
$${each}\:{point}\:{P}\:{in}\:{the}\:{square}\:\mathrm{360}×\mathrm{360} \\ $$$${represents}\:{a}\:{point}\:{pair}\:{A}\:{and}\:{B}.\: \\ $$$${the}\:{area}\:{of}\:{square}\:\mathrm{360}×\mathrm{360}\:{represents} \\ $$$${all}\:{possibilities}. \\ $$$${line}\:{L}_{\mathrm{1}} :\:\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} =−\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$${line}\:{L}_{\mathrm{2}} :\:\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} =\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$${it}\:{means}\:{each}\:{point}\:{in}\:{the}\:{shaded} \\ $$$${area}\:{fulfills}\:{the}\:{condition} \\ $$$$−\mathrm{45}°\leqslant\theta_{\mathrm{2}} −\theta_{\mathrm{1}} \leqslant\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$${therefore}\:{the}\:{probability}\:{for}\:\mid\varphi\mid\leqslant\mathrm{45}° \\ $$$${is}\:{p}=\frac{{area}\:{shaded}}{{area}\:{of}\:{square}}=\frac{\mathrm{360}×\mathrm{360}−\mathrm{315}×\mathrm{315}}{\mathrm{360}×\mathrm{360}} \\ $$$${which}\:{is}\:\frac{\mathrm{15}}{\mathrm{64}}\approx\mathrm{0}.\mathrm{234}. \\ $$
Commented by kaivan.ahmadi last updated on 26/Feb/19
it is equvalent to:  if we have a line segment with length 2πr  and we chose tow poin A,B  what is the probablity that AB^− ≤((πr)/4)
$${it}\:{is}\:{equvalent}\:{to}: \\ $$$${if}\:{we}\:{have}\:{a}\:{line}\:{segment}\:{with}\:{length}\:\mathrm{2}\pi{r} \\ $$$${and}\:{we}\:{chose}\:{tow}\:{poin}\:{A},{B} \\ $$$${what}\:{is}\:{the}\:{probablity}\:{that}\:{A}\overset{−} {{B}}\leqslant\frac{\pi{r}}{\mathrm{4}} \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
I tried to simulate this question with the app Grapher and got following result: Among 10000 random selections 2339 fulfill the condiction, the probability is 0.2339. This is what I input: sum(if(abs(rnd*360-rnd*360)<=45,1,0),i=1..10000)
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
to ahmadi sir:   your interpretation is correct.
$${to}\:{ahmadi}\:{sir}:\: \\ $$$${your}\:{interpretation}\:{is}\:{correct}. \\ $$
Commented by kaivan.ahmadi last updated on 26/Feb/19
is it the meaning of probablity?
$${is}\:{it}\:{the}\:{meaning}\:{of}\:{probablity}? \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 26/Feb/19
yes.
$${yes}. \\ $$
Commented by mr W last updated on 27/Feb/19
you are right sir. thanks alot!
$${you}\:{are}\:{right}\:{sir}.\:{thanks}\:{alot}! \\ $$

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